Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.017518 0.019304 0.021104 0.023050 0.025090 0.027162 0.029420
2025-06-29 0.013670 0.016396 0.019263 0.022482 0.025974 0.029630 0.033729
2025-07-06 0.010990 0.014137 0.017562 0.021518 0.025918 0.030620 0.035989
2025-07-13 0.009718 0.013241 0.017181 0.021833 0.027099 0.032813 0.039419
2025-07-20 0.008431 0.012181 0.016491 0.021686 0.027667 0.034242 0.041930
2025-07-27 0.007345 0.011251 0.015861 0.021524 0.028145 0.035510 0.044207
2025-08-03 0.006815 0.010945 0.015921 0.022127 0.029463 0.037697 0.047486
2025-08-10 0.005958 0.010152 0.015335 0.021914 0.029794 0.038725 0.049426
2025-08-17 0.005177 0.009390 0.014736 0.021639 0.030014 0.039595 0.051160
2025-08-24 0.004547 0.008776 0.014279 0.021503 0.030369 0.040597 0.053023
2025-08-31 0.003949 0.008152 0.013771 0.021271 0.030581 0.041411 0.054653
2025-09-07 0.003480 0.007672 0.013420 0.021210 0.030980 0.042429 0.056503
2025-09-14 0.002872 0.006959 0.012767 0.020801 0.031014 0.043094 0.058049
2025-09-21 0.002270 0.006190 0.012002 0.020230 0.030846 0.043531 0.059352
2025-09-28 0.001671 0.005321 0.011025 0.019324 0.030214 0.043372 0.059918
2025-10-05 0.001454 0.005093 0.010958 0.019620 0.031091 0.045033 0.062638
2025-10-12 0.001168 0.004683 0.010588 0.019482 0.031396 0.045983 0.064502
2025-10-19 0.000920 0.004296 0.010224 0.019329 0.031666 0.046880 0.066291
2025-10-26 0.000833 0.004243 0.010377 0.019898 0.032872 0.048930 0.069471
2025-11-02 0.000633 0.003876 0.010000 0.019697 0.033057 0.049706 0.071103
2025-11-09 0.000458 0.003511 0.009597 0.019438 0.033150 0.050357 0.072576
2025-11-16 0.000330 0.003221 0.009296 0.019310 0.033406 0.051203 0.074279
2025-11-23 0.000219 0.002917 0.008944 0.019091 0.033528 0.051871 0.075759